By Kyle Loveless
I think the Oklahoma GOP is not going to have to weather the anti incumbent fever that is rising in different parts of the country. Bush still has a mid to high 50’s approval ratings here in Oklahoma, even though national topics are not on the ballot in Oklahoma this cycle.
Every down ticket Republican is in the fight for their political lives except for Bob Anthony. His race is getting tighter with Cody Graves, but I believe Graves will come up short. I do question Graves attacking Anthony, especially after Bob Anthony received an award from the FBI regarding his integrity and his help in rooting out corruption. Graves better ask Kirk Humphreys if he wants to go negative on Anthony.
The Labor Commissioners race is always tight, and for some reason the Dems think they can take Brenda Reneau out. I will have to wait and see on this one. Reneau telling Lloyd Fields to "shush" on the Verdict was not the best way to look like you know what you are doing. Yes, I agree he was out of line interrupting her. Quick note, when given the opportunity to close a debate on why you deserve another term - give reasons - not shots at your opponent.
I think Kim Holland is dead. The luckiest guy in Oklahoma right now????? Bill Case. She may win, even with all of the questions surrounding her, but I think it will come down to Bill Case scraping enough money to get on TV. If he can, he wins. If not, she wins.
Jeff McMahan is in hiding from Mike McCarville and the press. If Gary Jones can raise enough to buy tv in two media markets, he can win. My suggestion would be to divide his buys between cable and major tv. I hear that McMahan is up in the Lawton and Sherman / Ada markets, so we shall see if that pays off.
Bill Crozier, who is running against Sandy Garrett, made a video recently on how students could use old think school books to STOP A BULLETT if a Columbine type of shooting occurred. And that is where the saying died, there is no such thing as bad publicity, sheesh.
Finally, it is my prediction that all of the naysayers will be proved wrong. It seems that whenever all of the prognosticators and experts agree, it makes me think they are missing something. I think they are missing something here in Oklahoma. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think every Republican will win, but I believe it will be better than most people expect. We will do pretty well overall.
I predict there will be a tie in the State Senate and new Senate Pro Tem Todd Hiett will be breaking the ties. We will hold the House (lose a couple of seats) but still retain the majority. Mary Fallin will be our newly elected Congressperson.
I am stil studying the others races.
*Read Kyle's new OKPNS column:
"Where Oklahoma Should Be?
Posted at 10/31/2006 11:34:00 AM
